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Item type:Publication, Predictive Accuracy of Clinicians Estimates of Death and Recovery after Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Pre-Specified Analysis in INTERACT3 Study(2024) ;Menglu Ouyang ;Lu Ma ;Xiaoying Chen ;Xia WangLaurent Billot<jats:p>Introduction: Accurately predicting a patient’s prognosis is an important component of decision-making in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We aimed to determine clinicians’ ability to predict survival, functional recovery, and return to premorbid activities in patients with ICH. Methods: Pre-specified secondary analysis of the third intensive care bundle with blood pressure reduction in acute cerebral hemorrhage trial (INTERACT3), an international, multicenter, stepped-wedge cluster randomized controlled trial. Clinician perspectives on prognosis were collected at hospital admission and Day 7 (or before discharge). Prognosis questions were the likelihood of (i) survival at 48 h and 6 months, (ii) favorable functional outcome (recovery walking and self-care), and (iii) return to usual activities at 6 months. Clinician predictions were compared with actual outcomes. Results: Most clinician participants were from neurosurgery (75%) with a median of 8 working years (IQR 5–14) of experience. Of the 6,305 randomized patients who survived 48 h, 213 (3.4%) were predicted to die (positive predictive value [PPV] 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.99–0.99). Of 5,435 patients who survived 6 months, 209 (3.8%) were predicted to die (PPV 0.93, 95% CI: 0.92–0.93). Predictions on the favorable functional outcome (PPV 0.54, 95% CI: 0.52–0.56) and satisfied ability to return to usual activities (PPV 0.50, 95% CI: 0.49–0.52) were poor. Prediction accuracy varied by working years and region of practice. Conclusions: In patients with ICH, clinician estimates of death are very good but conversely they are poor in predicting higher levels of functional recovery and activities. </jats:p>1 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Clinical Prediction Algorithm (BRAIN) to Determine Risk of Hematoma Growth in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage(2015) ;Xia Wang ;Hisatomi Arima ;Rustam Al-Shahi Salman ;Mark WoodwardEmma Heeley<jats:sec> <jats:title>Background and Purpose—</jats:title> <jats:p>We developed and validated a simple algorithm to predict the risk of hematoma growth in acute spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) to better inform clinicians and researchers in their efforts to improve outcomes for patients.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Methods—</jats:title> <jats:p>We analyzed data from the computed tomography substudies of the pilot and main phases of the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trials (INTERACT1 and 2, respectively). The study group was divided into a derivation cohort (INTERACT2, n=964) and a validation cohort (INTERACT1, n=346). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with clinically significant (≥6 mL) increase in hematoma volume at 24 hours after symptom onset. A parsimonious risk score was developed on the basis of regression coefficients derived from the logistic model.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Results—</jats:title> <jats:p> A 24-point BRAIN score was derived from INTERACT2 (C-statistic, 0.73) based on baseline ICH volume (mL per score, ≤10=0, 10–20=5, >20=7), recurrent ICH (yes=4), anticoagulation with warfarin at symptom onset (yes=6), intraventricular extension (yes=2), and number of hours to baseline computed tomography from symptom onset (≤1=5, 1–2=4, 2–3=3, 3–4=2, 4–5=1, >5=0) predicted the probability of ICH growth (ranging from 3.4% for 0 point to 85.8% for 24 points) with good discrimination (C-statistic, 0.73) and calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow <jats:italic>P</jats:italic> =0.82) in INTERACT1. </jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Conclusions—</jats:title> <jats:p>The simple BRAIN score predicts the probability of hematoma growth in ICH. This could be used to improve risk stratification for research and clinical practice.</jats:p> </jats:sec> <jats:sec> <jats:title>Clinical Trial Registration—</jats:title> <jats:p> URL: <jats:ext-link xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="http://www.clinicaltrials.gov">http://www.clinicaltrials.gov</jats:ext-link> . Unique identifier: NCT00226096 and NCT00716079. </jats:p> </jats:sec>3Scopus© Citations 117 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Prognostic Significance of Hyponatremia in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Pooled Analysis of the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trial Studies(2016) ;Cheryl Carcel ;Shoichiro Sato ;Danni Zheng ;Emma HeeleyHisatomi Arima8Scopus© Citations 41 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Rapid Blood Pressure Lowering According to Recovery at Different Time Intervals after Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Pooled Analysis of the INTERACT Studies(2015) ;Xia Wang ;Hisatomi Arima ;Rustam Al-Shahi Salman ;Mark WoodwardEmma Heeley<jats:p><b><i>Background and Purpose:</i></b> Early intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering has been shown to improve functional outcome in acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but the treatment effect is modest and without a clearly defined underlying explanatory mechanism. We aimed at more reliably quantifying the benefits of this treatment according to different time periods in the recovery of participants in the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trial (INTERACT) studies. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Pooled analysis of the pilot INTERACT1 (n = 404) and main INTERACT2 (n = 2,839) involving patients with spontaneous ICH (<6 h) and elevated systolic BP (SBP 150-220 mm Hg) who were randomized to intensive (target SBP <140 mm Hg) or guideline-recommended (target SBP <180 mm Hg) BP lowering treatment. Treatment effects were examined according to repeated measures analysis of an ordinal (‘shift') across all 7 levels of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) assessed during follow-up at 7, 28, and 90 days, post-randomization. Clinical trial registration information: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00226096 and NCT00716079. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Intensive BP lowering resulted in a significant favorable distribution of mRS scores for better functioning (odds ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.26; p = 0.042) over 7, 28 and 90 days, and the effect was consistency for early (7-28 days) and later (28-90 days) time periods (p homogeneity 0.353). Treatment effects were also consistent across several pre-specified patient characteristic subgroups, with trends favoring those randomized early, and with higher SBP and milder neurological severity at baseline. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Intensive BP lowering provides beneficial effects on physical functioning that manifests consistently through the early and later phases of recovery from ICH.</jats:p>Scopus© Citations 23 1 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Early Blood Pressure Lowering Does Not Reduce Growth of Intraventricular Hemorrhage following A cut Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Results of the INTERACT Studies(2016) ;Edward Chan ;Craig S. Anderson ;Xia Wang ;Hisatomi ArimaAnubhav Saxena<jats:p><b><i>Background:</i></b> Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) extension is common following acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and is associated with poor prognosis. <b><i>Aim:</i></b> To determine whether intensive blood pressure (BP)-lowering therapy reduces IVH growth. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> Pooled analyses of the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trials (INTERACT1 and INTERACT2) computed tomography (CT) substudies; multicenter, open, controlled, randomized trials of patients with acute spontaneous ICH and elevated systolic BP, randomly assigned to intensive (<140 mm Hg) or guideline-based (<180 mm Hg) BP management. Participants had blinded central analyses of baseline and 24-hour CT. Association of BP lowering to IVH growth was assessed in analysis of covariance. <b><i>Results:</i></b> There was no significant difference in adjusted mean IVH growth following intensive (n = 228) compared to guideline-recommended (n = 228) BP treatment (1.6 versus 2.2 ml, respectively; p = 0.56). Adjusted mean IVH growth was nonsignificantly greater in patients with a mean achieved systolic BP ≥160 mm Hg over 24 h (3.94 ml; p trend = 0.26). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Early intensive BP-lowering treatment had no clear effect on IVH in acute ICH.</jats:p>Scopus© Citations 8 1 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Practice Patterns for Neurosurgical Utilization and Outcome in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage Trials 1 and 2 Studies(2017) ;Rui Guo ;David J. Blacker ;Xia Wang ;Hisatomi ArimaScopus© Citations 9 1