Research Output

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Publication

Horizontal and Vertical Ground-Motion Duration Prediction Models from Interplate and Intermediate-Depth Intraslab Earthquakes in Mexico City

2024 , Miguel A. Jaimes , Adrián D. García-Soto , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO

In this study, we present predictive models for significant ground-motion duration from interplate and intermediate-depth intraslab earthquakes at Mexico City for the horizontal components, the vertical component, and the vertical-to-horizontal ratio case. The considered sites are located over several zones in Mexico City, from rock to soft-soil sites. For the ground-motion duration models, the significant durations for ranges between 5% and 75%, 5% and 95%, and 2.5% and 97.5% of Arias intensity are considered for the analyses. The equations were developed as functions of magnitude, distance of the earthquake, and site period using 16 and 23 event recordings from interplate and intermediate-depth intraslab earthquakes at the hill, transition, and lakebed zones of the city using mixed-effect regression analyses. For the intraslab events, in particular, the new database includes recordings from two significant normal-faulting events that occurred in 2017. The models lead to differences with respect to the previous models. Therefore, predictive models for both considered focal mechanisms are proposed. The model is valid for interplate events at distances from 280 to 500 km and magnitude Mw from 6 to 8.1, for intraslab events at distances of 100 km up to about 650 km, magnitude Mw from 5 to 8.2, and focal depths from 40 km to over 120 km.

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Interperiod Correlation Model for Mexican Interface Earthquakes

2019 , Miguel A. Jaimes , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO

This article presents a correlation model for pseudo-acceleration, peak ground acceleration, and peak ground velocity residuals using a database of Mexican subduction interface earthquakes at rock sites (NEHRP Class B). A mixed-effect regression model, a ground motion model, and 40 event recordings (418 records) with moment magnitude between five and eight were used to develop a magnitude-independent correlation model. This region-specific model yields consistently higher correlation values compared with similar studies developed for shallow crustal regions and other subduction zones worldwide, particularly for pseudo-acceleration values at distant periods. These results support the idea of using a region-specific and mechanism-specific correlation model for Mexico's subduction zone.

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Toppling of rigid electric equipment during earthquakes

2018 , Miguel A. Jaimes , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO

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Ground Motion Correlations from Recorded Mexican Intermediate-depth, Intraslab Earthquakes

2021 , Miguel A. Jaimes , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO , Alhelí S. López-Castañeda , Jorge Macedo

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Cost-Benefit Analysis of Seismic Mitigation Measures for Wine Barrel Stacks

2018 , Miguel A. Jaimes , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO , Philomène Favier

This study conducts a cost-benefit analysis of alternative seismic risk mitigation methods for wine barrel stacks. The Chilean wine industry is presented as an illustrative case study in which performance metrics, such as the expected annual loss (EAL) and benefit-cost ratios, are computed for wineries at different locations. By computing seismic risk within a consistent framework, this study shows the value of cost-benefit simulations for defining the best mitigation strategies and allocating economic resources. Likewise, this approach helps communicate information to decision makers because it is presented in a simple and transparent way, even if they are not familiar with formal risk studies. For three-level wine barrel stacks, it was observed that the Cradle Extender®(MS1) prevents a large number of barrel collapses and provides the highest benefit-cost ratio. On the other hand, for six-level wine barrel stacks, the prestressed cable (MS2) is more effective than MS1 as it prevents the barrel stack from overturning. No significant loss reduction is apparent in four- and five-level wine barrel stacks with the use of mitigation strategies; indeed, the mitigation strategies could generate greater losses and, therefore, other alternatives must be proposed.

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Publication

A New State‐of‐the‐Art Platform for Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment

2019 , CANDIA AGUSTI, GABRIEL ALFONSO , Jorge Macedo , Miguel A. Jaimes , Carolina Magna‐Verdugo

ABSTRACTA new computational platform for seismic hazard assessment is presented. The platform, named SeismicHazard, allows characterizing the intensity, uncertainty, and likelihood of ground motions from subduction‐zone (shallow interface and intraslab) and crustal‐zone earthquakes, considering site‐specific as well as regional‐based assessments. The platform is developed as an object‐oriented MATLAB graphical user interface, and it features several state‐of‐the‐art capabilities for probabilistic and deterministic (scenario‐based) seismic hazard assessment. The platform integrates the latest developments in performance‐based earthquake engineering for seismic hazard assessment, including seismic zonation models, ground‐motion models (GMMs), ground‐motion correlation structures, and the estimation of design spectra (uniform hazard spectra, classical conditional mean spectrum (CMS) for a unique tectonic setting). In addition to these standard capabilities, the platform supports advanced features, not commonly found in existing seismic hazard codes, such as (a) computation of source parameters from earthquake catalogs, (b) vector‐probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, (c) hazard evaluation based on conditional GMMs and user‐defined GMMs, (d) uncertainty treatment in the median ground motions through continuous GMM distributions, (e) regional shaking fields, and (f) estimation of CMS considering multiple GMMs and multiple tectonic settings. The results from the platform have been validated against accepted and well‐documented benchmark solutions.